(Cambridge; New York: Cambridge University Press, 2013), 13SM–1–13SM–8, http://www.climatechange2013.org/images/report/WG1AR5_Ch13SM_FINAL.pdf. A. and N.J. White (2011), Sea-level rise from the late 19th to the early 21st Century. The map shows the projected change in relative sea level in 2081-2100 compared to 1986-2005 for the medium-low emission scenario RCP4.5 based on an ensemble of CMIP5 climate models. The EEA Web CMS works best with following browsers: Internet Explorer is not recommended for the CMS area. Global and European sea-level rise, 08 Sep 2008 - PASADENA, Calif. (AP) — A newly launched European-U.S. satellite designed to continue a decades-long record of tracking global sea levels has sent back its … Horizontal spatial distribution of mean sea level trend in European Seas (January 1993- December 2015), Trend in relative sea level at selected European tide gauge stations, Projections for global mean sea level rise and its contributions. Most European coastal regions experience increases in both absolute and relative sea level, but there are sizeable differences between the rates of absolute and relative sea level change across Europe. Church et al., ‘Sea-Level Change’, inClimate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. US coronavirus cases top 12 million. (2012): New Data Systems and Products at the Permanent Service for Mean Sea Level. Geodetic Results’,Journal of Geophysical Research 107, no. Credit: NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center/Kathryn Mersmann › … Different statistical methods for assessing sea level trends and changes therein can come to somewhat different conclusions, but all available assessments agree that an acceleration in the rate of GMSL rise since the early 1990s is detectable [ii]. D. Masters , R. S. Nerem , C. Choe , E. Leuliette , B. Beckley , N. White & M. Ablain (2012): Comparison of Global Mean Sea Level Time Series from TOPEX/Poseidon, Jason-1, and Jason-2, Marine Geodesy, 35:sup1, 20-41. Thermal expansion of the oceans occurs as a result of warming ocean water. Future projections of extreme sea level can be made using either process-based (dynamic) or empirical statistical modelling of storm surge behaviour driven by the output of global climate models. T. F. Stocker et al. The other European glaciers cover a relatively small area and only constitute a minor contribution to sea level rise. Our prosperity and healthy environment stem from an innovative, circular economy where nothing is wasted and where natural resources are managed sustainably, and biodiversity is protected, valued and restored in ways that enhance our society’s resilience. This indicator comprises several metrics to describe past and future sea level rises globally and in European seas. Our low-carbon growth has long been decoupled from resource use, setting the pace for a safe and sustainable global society.’, Overview of EU sector policies in which mainstreaming of adaptation to climate change is ongoing or explored, Overview of activities of EEA member countries in preparing, developing and implementing adaptation strategies. The intensity of storm surges can also be strongly affected by regional and local geographical features, such as the shape of the coastline. 10 (30 January 2014): 3582–95, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00427.1. Sea level rise raises the height of sea level extremes, making coastal inundation more likely. Global sea level rise is reported because it is the second-most important metric of global climate change (after global mean surface temperature), and because it is a proxy of sea level rise in Europe. [ii] Melisa Menéndez and Philip L. Woodworth, ‘Changes in Extreme High Water Levels Based on a Quasi-Global Tide-Gauge Data Set’,Journal of Geophysical Research 115, no. Sea level projections are based on process-based models, which are rooted in state-of-the-art climate model simulations. A. Furthermore, there are significant gaps in the spatial coverage of tide gauges with long time series, including in Europe. [xiii] Hansen et al., ‘Ice Melt, Sea Level Rise and Superstorms’. Church et al., ‘Revisiting the Earth’s Sea-Level and Energy Budgets from 1961 to 2008’,Geophysical Research Letters 38, no. Thermal expansion of the oceans occurs as a result of warming ocean water. [viii] T. Howard et al., ‘Sources of 21st Century Regional Sea-Level Rise along the Coast of Northwest Europe’,Ocean Science 10, no. A. All available studies project that the damages from coastal floods in Europe would increase many-fold in the absence of adaptation, whereby the specific projections depend on the assumptions of the particular study. Tide gauges provide direct measurements, but they are influenced by local processes such as land subsidence. One recent study suggests that ice sheet melting in Antarctica and Greenland could occur much faster than previously thought and may result in sea level rise of several metres during the 21st century [xiii], but these findings have been controversial. 3–4 (June 2011): 116–28, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2011.04.002; Sönke Dangendorf et al., ‘North Sea Storminess from a Novel Storm Surge Record since AD 1843’,Journal of Climate 27, no. The map shows the projected change in relative sea level in 2081-2100 compared to 1986-2005 for the medium-low emission scenario RCP4.5 based on an ensemble of CMIP5 climate models. For further information, see the source document. Uncertainty in these projections for Europe remains high and is ultimately linked to the uncertainty in future mid-latitude storminess changes. [xiii] M. Mokrech et al., ‘An Integrated Approach for Assessing Flood Impacts Due to Future Climate and Socio-Economic Conditions and the Scope of Adaptation in Europe’,Climatic Change 128, no. Global and European sea level, 10 Sep 2014 - Describe past and future sea level along the European coastline, depending on the rising of! Land-Ice affects sea level rise substantially if the largest estimates of sea is. Levels is flooding: //doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2505 using tide gauges with long time series, with some more... Of sea level changes policies at all levels rate than during the 21st century and... Sea-Level Change ’, in Climate Change, ed to choose between the leading level. Change adaptation from space using satellite altimeters spatially uniform, and Vulnerability if the largest uncertainty as described church! Completed within 1 year ( from now ) to be completed would rise substantially increases risk... 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